{"id":332,"date":"2001-11-08T15:18:00","date_gmt":"2001-11-08T19:18:00","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.meehawl.com\/Blogfiles-wp\/?p=332"},"modified":"2001-11-08T15:18:00","modified_gmt":"2001-11-08T19:18:00","slug":"forward-looking","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.meehawl.com\/Blogfiles\/2001\/11\/08\/15\/18\/forward-looking\/","title":{"rendered":"Forward Looking"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>This <a href=\"http:\/\/cryptome.org\/alqaida-game.htm\">strategy analysis<\/a>, quite well reasoned, states that <a href=\"http:\/\/cryptome.org\/alqaida-game.htm\"><i>Al-Qaida has successfully laid a trap for the United States, retains the initiative, and the U.S. is operating \u00ef\u00bf\u00bdinside the intentions and plans\u00ef\u00bf\u00bd of Al-Qaida<\/i><\/a>. Which is exactly where you don;t want to be if you&#8217;re fighting terrorists, a small cadre of determined people can sometimes manage to dictate the behaviour of a larger opponent quite successfully. This is what happened in Northern Ireland for so long.<\/p>\n<p>Anyway, the writer then trys to think about what is the end-game of this current phase of the war. Just as in Somalia when Al-Quaida lured the US into a losing scenario and military losses, the current involvement seems to want to trigger US troop deployment. At which time they become vulnerable to asymmetrical attack. Just like <a href=\"http:\/\/www.rand.org\/publications\/CF\/CF129\/CF-129.chapter6.html\">Reagan&#8217;s Marine casualties in Lebanon in the 1980s<\/a>. In this scenario, a nuclear attack in the Gulf would destroy many US forces, remove from supply and contaminate huge oil reserves, cause a worldwide Depression, and destabilise the entire Middle East. Oh dear.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>This strategy analysis, quite well reasoned, states that Al-Qaida has successfully laid a trap for the United States, retains the initiative, and the U.S. is operating \u00ef\u00bf\u00bdinside the intentions and plans\u00ef\u00bf\u00bd of Al-Qaida. Which&#46;&#46;&#46;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-332","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-uncategorized"],"aioseo_notices":[],"jetpack_featured_media_url":"","jetpack-related-posts":[],"jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.meehawl.com\/Blogfiles\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/332","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.meehawl.com\/Blogfiles\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.meehawl.com\/Blogfiles\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.meehawl.com\/Blogfiles\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.meehawl.com\/Blogfiles\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=332"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.meehawl.com\/Blogfiles\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/332\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.meehawl.com\/Blogfiles\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=332"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.meehawl.com\/Blogfiles\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=332"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.meehawl.com\/Blogfiles\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=332"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}