{"id":802,"date":"2002-02-01T19:10:00","date_gmt":"2002-02-01T23:10:00","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.meehawl.com\/Blogfiles-wp\/?p=802"},"modified":"2002-02-01T19:10:00","modified_gmt":"2002-02-01T23:10:00","slug":"the-base-rate-fallacy-and-its-implications-for-the-difficulty-of-intrusion-detection","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.meehawl.com\/Blogfiles\/2002\/02\/01\/19\/10\/the-base-rate-fallacy-and-its-implications-for-the-difficulty-of-intrusion-detection\/","title":{"rendered":"The Base-Rate Fallacy and its Implications for the Difficulty of Intrusion Detection"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><a href=\"http:\/\/citeseer.nj.nec.com\/axelsson99baserate.html\">The Base-Rate Fallacy and its Implications for the Difficulty of Intrusion Detection<\/a> limits the effectiveness of <b><i>any<\/i><\/b> of these <a href=\"http:\/\/www.washingtonpost.com\/ac2\/wp-dyn\/A5185-2002Jan31?language=printer\">huge Orwellian technological profiling systems<\/a> dumb people are putting their faith in. And the tragedy is, they&#8217;re too dumb to realise it. And yet here we are, entering an endless <i>1984<\/i>-themed 21st century of <i><a href=\"http:\/\/www.commondreams.org\/views01\/0922-07.htm\">endless war, expedient lies, and ubiquitous social control<\/a><\/i>.<\/p>\n<p>Maybe Old Osama was thinking along the same lines:<br \/>\n<i><a href=\"..\/Webstore\/Afghan%20War\/Bin%20Laden%20Americans%20Headed%20for%20'Hell'%20%20%20.html\">I tell you, freedom and human rights in America are doomed. The US Government <\/a><a href=\"http:\/\/news.bbc.co.uk\/low\/english\/world\/middle_east\/newsid_1795000\/1795531.stm\">will lead the American people &#8211; and the West in general &#8211; into an unbearable hell and a choking life<\/a><\/i>.<\/p>\n<p>Or that cliched Neitszche quote:<br \/>\n<i><a href=\"http:\/\/quotes.prolix.nu\/Authors\/?Neitzsche\">He who fights monsters should look into it that he himself does not become a monster. When you gaze long into the Abyss, the Abyss also gazes into you<\/a><\/i>.<\/p>\n<p>Actually, given the trouble they have locating Bin Laden, this other Neitszche is also appropriate:<br \/>\n<a href=\"http:\/\/quotes.prolix.nu\/Authors\/?Neitzsche\"><i>He who lives by fighting with an enemy has an interest in the preservation of the enemys&#8217; life<\/i><\/a>.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>The Base-Rate Fallacy and its Implications for the Difficulty of Intrusion Detection limits the effectiveness of any of these huge Orwellian technological profiling systems dumb people are putting their faith in. 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